Comments on: Points in the Paint http://ballerblogger.com/2009/03/11/points-in-the-paint-24/ NBA blog Mon, 23 Jan 2012 05:58:10 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9 hourly 1 By: Ryan J. Parker http://ballerblogger.com/2009/03/11/points-in-the-paint-24/comment-page-1/#comment-17179 Ryan J. Parker Thu, 12 Mar 2009 18:21:24 +0000 http://ballerblogger.com/?p=1076#comment-17179 Donaghy's claim makes it sound like he had inside information as to which refs were biased against which teams, although it could be deeper than that (such as this ref calls such and such a way which will benefit this team). It's hard to say what his claim meant. I think the real value with this will come from finding out where the refs have an impact. Are certain refs associated with lower shooting percentages from some areas of the court? etc. Donaghy’s claim makes it sound like he had inside information as to which refs were biased against which teams, although it could be deeper than that (such as this ref calls such and such a way which will benefit this team). It’s hard to say what his claim meant.

I think the real value with this will come from finding out where the refs have an impact. Are certain refs associated with lower shooting percentages from some areas of the court? etc.

]]> By: Brandon Hoffman http://ballerblogger.com/2009/03/11/points-in-the-paint-24/comment-page-1/#comment-17110 Brandon Hoffman Thu, 12 Mar 2009 03:43:52 +0000 http://ballerblogger.com/?p=1076#comment-17110 Ryan: I understand your goal. I think you're definitely on to something too. Your formula threw me off. Do you think that it could be used to help predict point spreads? Tim Donaghy, for example, claimed to be able to predict the outcome of NBA games by knowing which officials worked specific contests. I know that's probably not what you had in mind. But if you're working with points scored and allowed per 100 possessions with relation to officials, that would appear to be a possible application. Regardless, it's good to see that you're thinking outside the box. Keep up the great work. Ryan:

I understand your goal. I think you’re definitely on to something too. Your formula threw me off.

Do you think that it could be used to help predict point spreads? Tim Donaghy, for example, claimed to be able to predict the outcome of NBA games by knowing which officials worked specific contests.

I know that’s probably not what you had in mind. But if you’re working with points scored and allowed per 100 possessions with relation to officials, that would appear to be a possible application.

Regardless, it’s good to see that you’re thinking outside the box.

Keep up the great work.

]]> By: Ryan J. Parker http://ballerblogger.com/2009/03/11/points-in-the-paint-24/comment-page-1/#comment-17106 Ryan J. Parker Thu, 12 Mar 2009 02:56:36 +0000 http://ballerblogger.com/?p=1076#comment-17106 The goal is the determine what role refs play in the game. This exercise was an attempt to measure the relationship refs have with points scored per 100 possessions. There isn't a whole lot of use for it other than to say that it is likely refs have a positive relationship here, meaning they add points. The real key will be figuring out how they impact the underlying features of the game, like shooting percentages and (the most obvious area) fouls. The goal is the determine what role refs play in the game. This exercise was an attempt to measure the relationship refs have with points scored per 100 possessions.

There isn’t a whole lot of use for it other than to say that it is likely refs have a positive relationship here, meaning they add points. The real key will be figuring out how they impact the underlying features of the game, like shooting percentages and (the most obvious area) fouls.

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